01.27 BTC Market Analysis and Trading Strategy

Market Overview: The daily chart remains in a clear downtrend: prices are suppressed by the MA5/10/20, the MACD is below the zero line, and the RSI is weak. 86000-85000 is the main support level, while resistance is concentrated above 90000. The 4-hour chart shows a technical rebound within a downtrend; moving averages are still bearish, but the MACD histogram is shortening, suggesting a possible temporary stabilization. The 1-hour and 15-minute charts show a strengthening structure, with short-term moving averages in a bullish alignment, a MACD golden cross, and a healthy RSI, indicating that the short-term rebound has some potential for continuation, but the upside is limited. News: Overall bearish: stablecoin market capitalization is declining, ETFs are experiencing continuous outflows, and funds are flowing into gold and the stock market. BTC has failed to benefit from macroeconomic positives. Positive news mainly focuses on compliance progress and ETH-related developments, offering limited support for BTC. The rebound is more due to technical corrections than new funds. Strategy: * Short-term (15m/1h): Consider a small position on a pullback to 88400-88000, with quick entry and exit. * Mid-term (4h): Treat it as a rebound; if it encounters resistance around 90,000, consider shorting opportunities. * Long-term (daily): The trend remains bearish; a higher safety margin is needed at 86,000-85,000. Patiently wait for a clear bottoming signal. Key levels: Support: 88,400 / 88,000 / 87,000 / 86,000 Resistance: 88,800-89,000 / 90,000 / 91,500 Recommended safe and reliable exchange with zero slippage; registration includes a 50% commission rebate: https://www.ktx.com/zh/login/register?invite_code=KTX888