According to data from Polymarket, as reported by Odaily, the probability of a bet on "the US government is expected to shut down again before Valentine's Day" is currently 48%. This probability had previously risen to 57%, but has now slightly decreased. The total amount wagered is approximately $87,000.
Polymarket currently reports a 48% probability of another US government shutdown before Valentine's Day.
2026-02-04 02:33:58
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