Polymarket's probability that "navigation in the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by April 30" briefly rose to 57%, a 43% increase in 24 hours.

According to Odaily Seer, the probability of the Strait of Hormuz returning to normal traffic flow by April 30th on Polymarket has risen to approximately 57%, a 24-hour increase of about 43%, with current trading volume around $4.07 million. This market uses IMF PortWatch data for settlement; a "yes" result is defined as a 7-day moving average of 60 or more vessels passing through the Strait on any day within the market cycle, and a "no" result otherwise. The statistics include container ships, bulk carriers, roll-on/roll-off ships, general cargo ships, and tankers, and only data recorded by the IMF PortWatch system is considered. Previous news: Iranian Foreign Minister: With Iranian coordination, the Strait will be safe for passage within the next two weeks. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the forecast market, seeing changes before pricing.