Eleven suspected insider addresses profited nearly $2 million by successfully predicting the timing of the "US-Iran ceasefire."

According to Huoxun Finance, at least 11 addresses profited through time-based predictions in Polymarket's "US-Iran Ceasefire" prediction market. The most profitable address, 0xffa6b3...30fe, earned approximately $405,000, followed by address 0xa4eb52...d010 with approximately $339,000. The total profit for all addresses reached $1,913,292.47. These trades were concentrated in multiple ceasefire periods expiring in March and April. Some early bets on a March ceasefire initially resulted in losses, but later positions saw significant profits as the anticipated ceasefire materialized in early April.