Polymarket's probability that "Trump will announce the lifting of the Strait of Hormuz blockade before May 31" has risen to 63%, with a 24-hour increase of 7%.

According to Odaily Seer, the probability of Trump announcing the lifting of the Strait of Hormuz blockade before May 31st has risen to 63% on Polymarket, a 7% increase in 24 hours. US President Trump posted on social media: Iran just informed us they are in a state of "collapse." They want us to "open the Strait of Hormuz" as soon as possible so they can resolve their leadership issues (I believe they can!). Meanwhile, the deputy commander of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy stated that Iran has achieved absolute control over the Strait of Hormuz and demands tolls for passing ships. He emphasized that the territorial sovereignty of the Strait of Hormuz is inviolable, and foreign vessels must abide by Iranian rules when passing through the waterway, including using Persian for communication. He stated, "Without the orders of the Supreme Leader and the will of the people, Iran will not allow even a liter of oil to flow out of the strait." He also stated that the Iranian military is currently "on high alert." He claimed that US hegemony in the Persian Gulf has ended and reiterated Iran's capability to cope with any form of maritime blockade. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.