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00:39
The Democratic Party wins the midterm elections, potentially leading to stricter regulation for Kalshi and Polymarket
Odaily Planet Daily News: After the Democrats won the midterm elections, prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket may face stricter regulation. Several Democratic lawmakers criticized these markets for allowing betting on sensitive events like elections, wars, and assassinations, and called for stronger legislative constraints. (Politico)
23:35
The on-chain data of the Polymarket account dubdubdub2 is insufficient to support speculation about early polling results
Odaily Planet Daily News: According to on-chain analytics monitoring, the on-chain analysis of Polymarket account dubdubdub2, which was questioned by The New York Times, shows that the trader has long engaged in large-scale speculation and DeFi trading, holding related election positions until settlement, rather than immediately profiting and exiting after the polling results were released. Transaction records also indicate that the trader may have continued placing bets just 10 minutes after the Nebraska poll results were announced. Two interviewed experts believe the current evidence does not strongly suggest misconduct, but cannot completely rule out the possibility. Polymarket previously stated it is conducting an investigation.
00:18
Polymarket: In the settled markets of the US midterm elections, 98.4% of the popular options predicted correctly
Odaily Planet Daily News: Polymarket posted on X platform stating that there were 419 winning outcomes among the most popular market options the day before the election, accounting for 98.4%; additionally, 7 results differed from the popular option, and 78 remain unsettled. Polymarket also noted that in 10 key elections, it predicted outcomes with a 99% probability, approximately 31 minutes earlier than the median time reported by CNN, Fox News, and the Associated Press (AP). For instance, its prediction for the Michigan Senate election came about 4 hours earlier than mainstream media.
20:18
Polygon proposal to hard fork and zero out approximately 70.49 million stolen POL
Odaily Planet Daily News: According to Polygon community proposal monitoring, a member has proposed a hard fork on the Polygon PoS mainnet to zero out approximately 70.49 million native POL tokens from addresses on the blacklist, transferring them to a designated recovery address. Calculated at the October 29 price, these POL tokens are worth about $6.5 million. Among them, Polymarket-related addresses involve around 23.86 million POL, and Binance-related addresses involve about 46.63 million POL; the proposal states that the total supply remains unchanged. The proposal is scheduled to be presented at the protocol governance meeting on November 5 at 10:30 PM Beijing time, with the activation block and client version yet to be determined.
04:28
Polymarket's probability of 'Republican House seats below 170 after midterm elections' rises to 28%, up 27% in 24 hours
PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that the probability of 'Republican House seats below 170 after the midterm elections' on Polymarket has risen to 28%, up 27% in 24 hours; the probability of Republican House seats being between 170 and 174 after the midterms has increased to 28%, up 25% in 24 hours. Join the PPP signal push community to stay ahead and seize opportunities first.
02:35
A Polymarket trader has incurred losses on all five positions, with unrealized losses totaling $624,800
BlockBeats news, November 4: According to Lookonchain monitoring, a trader who is bullish on the Republican Party winning the 2026 U.S. midterm elections currently has five positions in loss, with an aggregate unrealized loss of $624,800.
02:30
Did the Republicans underperform in the midterm elections? Polymarket traders lost on all five positions, with unrealized losses totaling $624,800
Odaily Planet Daily News: According to Lookonchain monitoring, a trader who is bullish on the Republican Party winning the 2026 U.S. midterm elections currently has five positions in loss, with an aggregate unrealized loss of $624,800.
23:45
Polymarket Perps launches pre-market perpetual contracts for Anthropic, supporting up to 10x leverage
Odaily Planet Daily News: Polymarket Perps has launched pre-market perpetual contracts for Anthropic (ANT), supporting up to 10x leverage.
23:45
Polymarket launches pre-market perpetual contract for Anthropic
BlockBeats news, November 3: According to the official announcement from Polymarket Perps, Anthropic (ANT) pre-market perpetual contracts have been launched, supporting up to 10x leverage.
16:03
David Bensoussan, a Polymarket trader, has accumulated profits exceeding $1.5 million by betting on the Democrats winning the House of Representatives.
Odaily Planet Daily News: Douglas Campbell, using the username AlexanderHam on Kalshi, has accumulated profits exceeding $800,000, ranking him sixth among election traders on the platform. David Bensoussan, operating under the username Scottilicious primarily on Polymarket, has earned over $1.5 million in total profits and holds positions worth more than $280,000 betting on the Democrats winning the House of Representatives, where the current market probability stands at approximately 94%. Both traders seek trading advantages by visiting voters in person and analyzing voter data.
10:03
U.S. Senator accuses X of favoring Polymarket, questioning its provision of unfair competitive advantage
Odaily Planet Daily News: U.S. Senate Democrats accuse X of favoring the prediction market Polymarket. In a joint letter, Nevada Democratic Senator Catherine Cortez Masto, California Democratic Senator Adam Schiff, Nevada Democratic Senator Jacky Rosen, and Connecticut Democratic Senator Richard Blumenthal stated that users cannot select a reason when reporting Polymarket ads through X's standard interface, unlike other platforms such as Kalshi which do not have this issue.
04:53
Daily trading volume increases 10 times, Hyperliquid HIP-4 results contract trading volume grows over the past 30 days
Odaily Planet Daily News: CBB posted on X platform stating that daily trading volume for the HIP-4 outcome contract has increased 10 times over the past 30 days. CBB expects this trend to accelerate further, as fees are 100 times lower than those of Polymarket and Kalshi, and claims the future of prediction markets lies with Hyperliquid.
08:59
The release date has been adjusted to November 9, allowing the Polymarket Protocol V2 to avoid the U.S. midterm election week.
Odaily Planet Daily News: Polymarket Developers announced that to avoid the week of the U.S. midterm elections, the release date for Protocol V2 has been moved from November 2nd to November 9th. The final schedule and deployment plan, including specific time points and the order of market migrations, will be announced in the coming days; users need not take any action during this period.
18:53
Golden and silver 15-minute price movement prediction market launches, Polymarket expands asset categories
Odaily Planet Daily News: Chainlink announced that Polymarket has deepened its collaboration with Chainlink's official oracle, expanding the high-speed 15-minute price movement prediction market from cryptocurrencies to other asset classes. Currently, 15-minute price movement prediction markets for gold and silver are live, with more commodities to follow, and further expansion into stocks and foreign exchange markets planned. Polymarket also confirmed Chainlink as its official oracle partner for high-speed price movement markets.
14:47
Probability of 'ETH reaches $2400 in remaining October' on Polymarket drops to 3%, down 42% in 24 hours
PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that the probability of "ETH reaches $2400 during the remaining time in October" on Polymarket has dropped to 3%, a 42% decrease over 24 hours. According to settlement rules, if the highest price of any 1-minute K-line of Binance's ETH/USDT reaches or exceeds the specified price within the designated month, the market settles as "Yes," otherwise it settles as "No." Settlement is based solely on Binance's ETH/USDT price data; prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are not considered. Join the PPP signal push community to stay ahead and seize opportunities first.
10:24
Before the U.S. midterm elections, media outlets such as CNN and CNBC have entered into commercial partnerships with Kalshi and Polymarket.
Odaily Planet Daily News: Before the U.S. midterm elections (November 3), media outlets including CNN, CBS News, Dow Jones, and CNBC have entered commercial partnerships with prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, citing election trading odds in their reports. Data from Dune shows that transaction volumes related to the elections on these two platforms amount to approximately $1.5 billion. CBS News announced Kalshi as its prediction market sponsor; CNBC disclosed that its collaboration with Kalshi involves customer acquisition sharing and minority equity investment; The Wall Street Journal features a Polymarket odds column on its front page. Fox and CNN stated they will not broadcast odds during their live coverage of election night.
01:22
Polymarket has launched pre-market perpetual contracts for ANTHROPIC-USD
BlockBeats News, October 30: Polymarket Perps has launched pre-IPO perpetual contracts for ANTHROPIC-USD, supporting up to 10x leverage and settled in pUSD. The contract uses Hyperliquid's io:ANT market as the reference price and is planned to transition into a standard perpetual contract after Anthropic completes its IPO.
20:29
Over 700 users had approximately $2.7 million stolen in the Polymarket incident, with trader Car accused of fabricating the theft
Odaily Planet Daily News: According to Bubblemaps monitoring, the Polymarket cryptocurrency theft incident caused by a third-party service provider breach has affected over 700 users, with stolen funds amounting to approximately $2.7 million. The primary attacker's address is 0x3F99…Ffc18, and the funds have been exchanged into POL and transferred out. Bubblemaps also corrected earlier claims, stating that trader Car, who previously claimed to have lost around $800,000, actually fabricated the theft; the pattern of asset transfers from Car's wallet differs from those of other victims. As of this report, Car's related posts have been deleted.
19:25
Approximately $2.65 million in funds was converted to POL, and the suspected attacker of Polymarket subsequently transferred out around 28.64 million POL tokens.
Odaily Planet Daily News: The address suspected to be involved in the Polymarket attack (0x3F99...Ffc18) exchanged obtained USDC.e and USDC for POL, briefly holding approximately $2.65 million worth of POL before transferring around 28.64 million POL in three separate transactions. Cybersecurity firm Hudson Rock stated that this address was hardcoded into a script containing wallet theft code hosted by DebugBear, serving as a backup receiving address. Previously, Polymarket reported that a third-party service provider had been breached, and affected users would receive full compensation.
19:07
Polymarket trading fully restored, will provide full compensation to affected traders
Odaily Planet Daily News: Polymarket states that trading has been fully restored and will provide full compensation to all affected traders.
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