According to Odaily Seer, in the Polymarket "UEFA Champions League Winner" prediction event, Paris Saint-Germain's probability of winning the title briefly surpassed Bayern Munich's, but has now risen to 32%, equaling Bayern Munich's. This represents a 6% increase in 24 hours, while Bayern Munich's probability of winning has decreased by 5% in the same period. Arsenal and Atletico Madrid currently have probabilities of winning at 27% and 11% respectively. To date, the total trading volume for the "UEFA Champions League Winner" event has exceeded $248 million. In the first leg of the Champions League semi-final, Paris Saint-Germain narrowly defeated Bayern Munich 5-4 at home, holding a slight advantage over Bayern Munich in the two-legged tie. The second leg will be played in Munich on May 6th. The first leg of the other semi-final will be played on April 29th, with Atletico Madrid hosting Arsenal. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

According to Huoxun Finance, Polymarket is currently in communication with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in hopes of restoring its main platform to U.S. users. If granted permission, this could lift restrictions on its U.S. users in place since its settlement with the CFTC in 2022. It is understood that Polymarket has previously resumed limited services in the U.S. market through the regulated QCEX framework. A full return is expected to further intensify competition in the U.S. prediction market.

According to Odaily Planet Daily, as of the end of April, crypto trading aggregator XBIT ranked 4th on the official Polymarket Builder leaderboard with a monthly trading volume of $36.12 million. The project officially launched in early April, and XBIT recently passed the official Polymarket Builder review. Currently, XBIT offers two core product categories: prediction markets and perpetual contracts (Perp DEX). The next step is to launch a leveraged prediction market to further enrich the aggregated trading experience.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, the probability of "MegaETH's TGE tomorrow" on Polymarket is currently at 97%, up 6% in the last 24 hours, with a trading volume of nearly $2.5 million. Meanwhile, MegaETH announced the launch of the Odyssey event last night, running from April 28th to June 23rd. After the event ends, eligible participants will receive rewards based on their activity, but must meet eligibility requirements and pass sanctions review and KYC verification before they can claim the rewards. This market will settle as "Yes" if MegaETH officially launches its governance token before 11:59 PM ET on the date indicated in the title; otherwise, it will settle as "No". The token must be publicly transferable and tradable; mere announcements do not constitute fulfillment of the requirements. This market primarily uses official MegaETH information as the basis for settlement, while also considering consensus formed through credible media reports. Odaily Seer continuously monitors prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event "League of Legends T1 vs. Nongshim Red Force," an account with a 53% win rate (address: 0x13414a77a4be48988851c73dfd824d0168e70853) purchased a total of $43,000 worth of bets on T1 defeating Nongshim Red Force (NS), with an opening price of 75¢. The match will begin at 16:00 Beijing time on April 29th. T1 and NS have faced each other approximately 26 times in official League of Legends matches, with T1 holding a significant advantage with 21 wins and 5 losses, a win rate of approximately 81%. Especially during Faker's tenure, T1 consistently won most series against NS. Historically, T1 has generally had an advantage against NS, but NS has occasionally demonstrated the ability to upset T1. Currently, in the LCK regular season standings, T1 and Gen.G are tied for third, while NS is in sixth place. Odaily Seer continuously monitors and predicts market shifts, seeing changes before pricing.

Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that in Polymarket's prediction event regarding "What Powell Will Say at His April Press Conference," the probability of buying "Good Afternoon" has risen to 98.3%. With the transaction price approaching 98.3¢, the total trading volume for this event is currently $57,749. Regarding the background, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is about to hold his April monetary policy press conference. As his term expires in mid-April, this press conference is considered the final event of his career. Historically, Powell habitually greets the media with "Good Afternoon" at the beginning of each press conference. Despite the current market pressure from high interest rates, there is a high degree of consensus among position builders regarding this polite phrase in their predictions. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) filed a lawsuit against the state of Wisconsin on Tuesday, seeking to maintain its regulatory authority following the state's lawsuits against several prediction market platforms. In a statement, the CFTC said the lawsuit targets Wisconsin's actions against five prediction markets regulated by the CFTC: Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Robinhood, and Coinbase. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig stated that states cannot circumvent explicit congressional directives and the implementation of several federal laws regulating financial markets, and the agency will take legal action. This is the fifth such lawsuit filed by the CFTC against various states, following previous lawsuits against New York, Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois. Wisconsin previously argued that prediction market contracts involving sporting events constitute illegal gambling and require a state gambling license. The CFTC, in conjunction with the U.S. Department of Justice's Civil Division, filed a complaint in the U.S. federal court in Wisconsin, asserting its exclusive jurisdiction over prediction market event contracts, which serve as the designated contract market. The defendants include Wisconsin Governor Anthony Evers, Attorney General Josh Kaul, and the state's gaming department.

According to Odaily Seer, a new prediction market event has been launched on Polymarket, predicting whether another country will leave OPEC in 2026. The current probability of "yes" is 36%. The event's rules state that if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal by 11:59 PM GMT on December 31, 2026, the market will declare it "yes"; otherwise, it will declare it "no." Informal statements, anonymous sources, or leaked information are invalid. The market's primary decision-making basis is official information from the relevant government, but it also considers consensus from other credible reports. The UAE previously announced its withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+ on May 1st. As a long-time OPEC member, the UAE's unexpected withdrawal could plunge the organization into chaos and weaken its influence. Analysts believe that the UAE's withdrawal from OPEC could be a major victory for Trump, who has accused the organization of "blackmailing the rest of the world" by raising oil prices. Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, anticipating changes before they are priced in.

Huoxun Finance reports that Polymarket, a prediction market platform, issued a clarification in response to external doubts about a data breach. The platform stated that its data has never been leaked and that all data is publicly accessible through its public endpoints and on-chain data. This is an inherent characteristic of on-chain data transparency, not a security vulnerability. Polymarket stated that one of the core advantages of on-chain data is its complete openness and auditability; anyone can obtain the data for free through its API without paying for it. Previously, there were reports that Polymarket had suffered a suspected data breach involving over 300,000 records and a leaked exploit kit.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Polymarket stated in an article on its X platform that a key characteristic of on-chain data is that all data is publicly auditable. Regarding allegations of data breaches, Polymarket clarified that there have been no data breaches, and all relevant information can be obtained through its public endpoints and on-chain data. Users do not need to pay for this data; instead, they can access it for free through its API.

According to Huoxun Finance, the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket has been suspected of being hacked. Threat perpetrator xorcat posted over 300,000 data records and a corresponding exploit kit on a well-known cybercrime forum. The attacker used unpublished API endpoints, pagination bypasses, and CORS misconfigurations in the Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs to extract data. The leaked data includes complete personal information for 10,000 users (including names, proxy wallets, and base addresses), 4,111 comments, 1,000 report records (including 58 ETH addresses and administrator authentication address identifiers), 48,536 Gamma market metadata entries, over 250,000 active CLOB market fixed-product market maker addresses, and social graph data from 9,000 followers. The toolkit contains proof-of-concept code for multiple vulnerabilities, including CVE-2025-62718 (Axios NO_PROXY bypass, CVSS 9.9, which can trigger server request forgery), CVE-2024-51479 (Next.js middleware authentication bypass, CVSS 7.5), and CORS misconfiguration, and also includes an automated continuous fetch script and a complete red team report.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, in Polymarket's prediction event for "NBA Western Conference First Round Game 5: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers," an account with a win rate of only 37% (0xdb859a551fcf56e49416160911476bea7307152f) purchased over $100,000 in bets on the Spurs to win by 11.5 points, with an average opening price of 50¢. The current price is 48.5¢, resulting in a floating loss of approximately $3,000. The Spurs currently lead the NBA Western Conference First Round series 3-1, with Game 5 scheduled for 9:30 AM Beijing time today. The Spurs' starting lineup is Vassell, Jampagne, Wahlbanama, Fox, and Castle; the Trail Blazers' starting lineup is Avdija, Kamara, Klingen, Holiday, and Henderson. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, anticipating changes before pricing.

According to Huoxun Finance, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) filed a lawsuit against the state of Wisconsin on Tuesday, accusing the state's governor, attorney general, and other state officials of attempting to restrict prediction market platforms through state law. Wisconsin recently sued platforms such as Coinbase, Robinhood, Crypto.com, Polymarket, and Kalshi, claiming their sports event contracts constituted "public nuisance." The CFTC emphasized its exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets (event contracts), arguing that the state government's criminalization of federally regulated markets violates the national swap market regulatory system established by Congress, and requested the court to issue an injunction confirming that federal law takes precedence over Wisconsin's injunction within the CFTC's regulatory purview.

According to Odaily Seer, in the Polymarket prediction event for "NBA Eastern Conference First Round Game 5: Knicks vs. Hawks," an account with only a 35% win rate (0xe5b70fd855af9258d9463992e4f1ed7987905ee3) purchased approximately $70,000 worth of bets on the Knicks defeating the Hawks. The average opening price was 69¢, and the current price is 69.5¢, resulting in a floating profit of approximately $490. The NBA Eastern Conference First Round playoff series between the Knicks and Hawks is currently tied 2-2, with Game 5 scheduled for 8:00 AM Beijing time today. The Knicks' starting lineup is Anunoby, Hart, Towns, Bridges, and Brunson; the Hawks' starting lineup is Daniels, Johnson, Okongwu, Walker, and McCollum. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, anticipating changes before pricing.

According to Huoxun Finance, Polymarket plans to introduce a major exchange in the United States, but it still needs approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

According to Odaily Planet Daily, Polymarket plans to bring its main exchange to the United States, pending approval from the CFTC.

According to Odaily Seer, the probability of Trump announcing the lifting of the Strait of Hormuz blockade before May 31st has risen to 63% on Polymarket, a 7% increase in 24 hours. US President Trump posted on social media: Iran just informed us they are in a state of "collapse." They want us to "open the Strait of Hormuz" as soon as possible so they can resolve their leadership issues (I believe they can!). Meanwhile, the deputy commander of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy stated that Iran has achieved absolute control over the Strait of Hormuz and demands tolls for passing ships. He emphasized that the territorial sovereignty of the Strait of Hormuz is inviolable, and foreign vessels must abide by Iranian rules when passing through the waterway, including using Persian for communication. He stated, "Without the orders of the Supreme Leader and the will of the people, Iran will not allow even a liter of oil to flow out of the strait." He also stated that the Iranian military is currently "on high alert." He claimed that US hegemony in the Persian Gulf has ended and reiterated Iran's capability to cope with any form of maritime blockade. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.

According to Huoxun Finance, the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket has completed its spot order book CLOB v2 upgrade, and trading functionality is gradually being restored. During the upgrade, there was a brief outage, during which trading was suspended and the order book was emptied; however, user funds and positions remained safe. Following the new version's launch, Polymarket introduced a $1 million liquidity reward program, distributing $500,000 in the first two hours, with the remainder distributed for the remainder of the day.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Polymarket announced on its X platform that the upgraded CLOB v2 exchange is now live. A $1 million liquidity reward program is currently underway, with $500,000 distributed in the first two hours and the remaining $500,000 distributed for the rest of the day. Users who log in will see prompts to convert their balance to pUSD and approve new contracts.