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Capitulation Wave Builds as ETF Outflows, Rate Shocks Hit Crypto

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Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin plunged to $89,200, triggering a fear index reading of 15 as forced liquidations surpassed $1.1 billion.
  • Fed repricing wiped out expectations of a December cut; yields rose and risk assets unwound sharply.
  • ETF outflows intensified: $254.51 million from BTC ETFs, $182.8 million from ETH ETFs, while Solana ETF inflows remained positive with $8.26 million
  • Short-Term Holder capitulation accelerated, with 31,800 BTC sent to exchanges at a loss and an estimated 148,000 BTC sold below $100,000.
  • Market structure weakened materially; BTC must reclaim USD $95,000–$100,000 or risk a slide into the mid-80Ks.
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