分析师：比特币期货溢价与持仓指数双双转正，杠杆需求回暖

PANews2026-07-06 07:50:00

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PANews 7月6日消息，CryptoQuant分析师Axel Adler Jr.发布报告指出，比特币期货市场出现改善信号：期货价格一个月来首次高于现货，基差在6月第三周触及-0.40%低点后于7月初重回正值；持仓指数30日均线也转为正值，反映过去几日多头开仓激增，风险偏好正在回归。

不过分析师表示，两项指标的改善幅度仍较浅——溢价仅略高于零，持仓指数最近两日已出现降温迹象。当前状态更接近正常化而非趋势反转，需等待基差持续为正且持仓保持正值以确认格局转变。主要风险在于杠杆需求的早期回归未能持续，反而可能引发新一轮市场清洗。

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